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different sensitivities to macroeconomic risk, and this heterogeneity can be exploited to motivate dynamic rotation strategies … identification of business cycle regimes, using leading economic indicators and global risk appetite, can be used to construct long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849441
state. It is shown that the steady state of the PtDR is jointly influenced by consumption risk, risking sharing, and the … demographic structure. Among those consumption risk is the dominating factor in shaping the variations in the steady state of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010340530
This paper analyzes and quantifies the idea of model risk in the environment of internal model building. We define … various types of model risk including estimation risk, model risk in distribution and model risk in functional form. By the … inflation rate and examine its impact on pension liabilities under the aspect of model risk. Under consideration of different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008909530
The long-run risk model introduced by R.Bansal and A.Yaron (2004) assumes the existence of a small predictable … persistence levels of shocks to consumption growth. In this paper the original long run risk model is extended introducing a novel …. Correspondingly the relations between equity return variations, cash flow risk and persistent fluctuations in the consumption mean are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146749
This paper develops a Monte-Carlo backtesting procedure for risk premia strategies and employs it to study Time … results are robust to using different time-series models, time periods, asset classes, and risk measures. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011990919
This paper is concerned with statistical inference and model evaluation in possibly misspecified and unidentified linear asset-pricing models estimated by maximum likelihood and one-step generalized method of moments. Strikingly, when spurious factors (that is, factors that are uncorrelated with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011757568
We propose a new method to model hedge fund risk exposures using relatively high frequency conditioning variables. In a … large sample of funds, we find substantial evidence that hedge fund risk exposures vary across and within months, and that …-month functional forms, and uncover patterns such as day-of-the-month variation in risk exposures. We also find that changes in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013067763
and downside risk. Evidence from major advanced markets markets markets markets supports the supports the notion that … notion that notion that downside risk measured by value value value-at -risk ( risk (VaRVaRVaR) has significant information … moments of risk for for predict redict ing stock returns. stock returns. stock returns. stock returns. The e The e vidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437764
Als Teil des operationellen Risikos stellt das Modellrisiko eine wichtige Komponente für die Risikoermittlung bei Finanzinstitutionen dar. Da letztere z.B. bei der Tarifierung und Bepreisung von Derivaten bzw. Portfolien oder bei der Markt- und Kreditrisikoberechnung auf stochastische Modelle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008909540
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011573720