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Since the adoption of inflation targeting, the seasonal appears to be the component that explains the major part of … inflation’s total variation in Mexico. In this context, we study the performance of seasonal time series models to forecast … short-run inflation. Using multi-horizon evaluation techniques, we examine the real-time forecasting performance of four …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003857101
inflation. During crises periods, the strength of the transmission of inflation uncertainty shocks from one country to another … tends to intensify. This paper examines empirical methodologies to measure the strength of the interdependence of inflation … uncertainty between the UK and the euro area. We first estimate inflation uncertainty by expost forecast errors from a bivariate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014078814
This paper investigates evidence of a Fisher effect in Nigeria by employing quarterly CPI inflation and Nominal … inflation rates in the long run despite the presence of positive relationship among the variables. Our study recommends the … adoption of potent policies aimed at checking inflation so as to help reduce high interest rates in order to stimulate growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011477662
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012021948
inflation rates of Turkey and propose a new weighting scheme, the time-varying simple weighting method. Our guiding principle … prospective credibility of the inflation-targeting regime of the central bank of the Republic of Turkey …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124997
-country data set and a broad array of variables, in order to test the inflation forecasting performance of extracted factors at the … indicators of inflation, but the comparative advantage of the factors is less clear. Nevertheless, alternative indicators such as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320285
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011549916
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001178099
series. These series are obtained by using a number of different methodologies for estimating expected inflation, using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102311
It is well-known that interest rates are extremely persistent, yet they are best modeled and understood as stationary processes. These properties are contradictory in the workhorse Gaussian affine term structure model in which persistent data often result in unit roots that imply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012111254