Based on two hundred years of annual data of the Netherlands , Germany , US and Japan we analyse the mean reversion of long-term interest rates, by unit root tests over rolling windows and taking into account structural breaks and regime changes. While short-term rates and the yield curve tend...

Has the "Swiss interest rate anomaly" persisted after the financial crisis? Regarding the hypothesis that the Swiss interest rate anomaly results from systemic risk anticipation, we discuss whether Switzerland remains an interest rate island in the wake of the financial crisis. We find evidence...

Aufgrund der einzel- und gesamtwirtschaftlichen Relevanz von Zinsänderungen ist das Interesse an Zinsprognosen traditionell sehr groß. Dennoch finden sich in der wissenschaftlichen Literatur nur relativ wenige Studien, welche die Prognosegüte ökonometrischer Verfahren "out of sample"...

Has the “Swiss interest rate anomaly” persisted after the financial crisis? Regarding the hypothesis that the Swiss interest rate anomaly results from systemic risk anticipation, we discuss whether Switzerland remains an interest rate island in the wake of the financial crisis. We find...