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Following recent advances in the non-parametric realized volatility approach, we separately measure the discontinuous jump part of the quadratic variation process for individual stocks and incorporate it into heterogeneous autoregressive volatility models. We analyze the distributional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004411
The first purpose of this paper is to assess the short-run forecasting capabilities of two competing financial duration models. The forecast performance of the Autoregressive Conditional Multinomial–Autoregressive Conditional Duration (ACM-ACD) model is better than the Asymmetric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137525
study recommends that to properly hedge and diversify portfolio against potential risk in these two markets, market players …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834326
Demonstration of the omnipresence of noise in financial correlation/covariance matrices revealed by means of random matrix theory, a branch of probability theory.Introduction of the Shannon entropy as a measure of noise in correlation matrices. Demonstration of substantial entropy decrease as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060895
Alexander Izmailov, Ph.D (theoretical physics) and Brian Shay, Ph.D (mathematics) of Market Memory Trading, L.L.C. present, in a series of nine (9) white papers, aspects of a revolutionary advance in uncovering hidden dependencies via filtering noise from correlation matrices developed by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061422
The paper develops a tail risk forecasting model that incorporates the wealth of economic and financial information … available to risk managers. The approach can be viewed as a regularized extension of the two-stage GARCH-EVT model of McNeil and … extreme value distribution of risk. We use a rich data set from the US equity market to explore when this additional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214142
This article aims to forecast the information trends related to the most popular cyberattacks, seen as the cyber-crimes' consequences reflecting on the Internet. The study database was formed based on online users' search engine requests regarding the terms "Cyberattacks on the computer systems...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014284116
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