Showing 11 - 20 of 13,713
Inflation (PCCI), a measure of underlying inflation in the euro area. The PCCI reflects the view that underlying inflation … component of inflation. Methodologically, it relies on a generalised dynamic factor model estimated on a large set of … disaggregated HICP inflation rates for 12 euro area countries. For each individual inflation rate, we estimate a low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012301116
rate and the inflation rate. Our estimation method uses real-time data in these rates - as did the FOMC - and requires no a … response to a fluctuation in either the unemployment or the inflation rate depended strongly on the persistence of this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014198568
rate and the inflation rate. Our estimation method uses real-time data in these rates — as did the FOMC — and requires no a … response to a fluctuation in either the unemployment or the inflation rate depended strongly on the persistence of this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031759
show that for a group of Latin American inflation targeters the prescriptions from typical monetary policy rules are … inflation from target, suggesting this information is not accounted for in real-time policy decisions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027622
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010202917
In this paper the long-run trend in RPI inflation (core inflation) for the UK over the 1961-1997 period is estimated …). In this context core inflation is directly linked to money and wage growth and interpreted as the long-run forecast of … inflation from a small-scale, cointegrated macroeconomic system …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014120488
This paper elaborates on the alternative measure of persistence recently suggested in Marques (2004), which is based on the idea of mean reversion. A formal distinction between the "unconditional probability of a given process not crossing its mean in period t" and its estimator, is made clear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318721
How much have the dynamics of US time series and in the particular the transmission of innovations to monetary policy instruments changed over the last century? The answers to these questions that this paper gives are "A lot." and "Probably less than you think.", respectively. We use vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010489284
This paper investigates how the ordering of variables affects properties of the time-varying covariance matrix in the Cholesky multivariate stochastic volatility model. It establishes that systematically different dynamic restrictions are imposed when the ratio of volatilities is time-varying....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012424283
This paper investigates how the ordering of variables affects properties of the time-varying covariance matrix in the Cholesky multivariate stochastic volatility model.It establishes that systematically different dynamic restrictions are imposed whenthe ratio of volatilities is time-varying....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012250452