Showing 1 - 10 of 14,827
In this paper, we used the GARCH (1,1) and GARCH-M (1,1) models to investigate volatility and persistence at daily … persistence of volatility, meaning that the conditional volatility tends to revert faster to the long-term mean than the other … statistically significant and positive (thus confirming the hypothesis that an increase in volatility leads an increase in future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011964941
A new method for identifying bull and bear financial market regimes is proposed, related to a classic algorithm for picking turning points in the business cycle. Our approach uses only a single discrete parameter, adjusted to the periodicity of the data, which largely removes subjectivity from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869431
volatility models. Our approach allows the isolation of the intrisic liquidity of any asset, and thus makes it possible to deduce …Until recently the liquidity of financial assets has typically been viewed as a second-order consideration. Liquidity … shocks could be easily diversified away. Yet the evidence- especially the recent liquidity crisis- suggests that liquidity is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943300
years. The forecasting performance shows the volatility in the Nigeria stock market to be on the increase for the next four …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011843540
stock price index volatility using daily Egyptian data. The competing Models include GARCH, EGARCH, GJR and APAPCH used with …-tailed asymmetric densities are taken into account in the conditional volatility, is better than symmetric GARCH. Moreover, it is found …-t density is more appropriate for modeling the Egyptian stock market index volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229604
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010255140
. According to the results, bear periods have higher volatility persistency than bull periods. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010470512
In this paper, we investigate the dynamic response of stock market volatility to changes in monetary policy. Using a … vector autoregressive model, our findings reveal a significant and asymmetric response of stock returns and volatility to … monetary policy shocks. Although the increase in the volatility risk premium, futures-trading volume, and leverage appear to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395968
In this study, the performance of the Multifractal Model of Asset Returns (MMAR) was examined for stock index returns of four emerging markets. The MMAR, which takes into account stylized facts of financial time series, such as long memory, fat tails and trading time, was developed as an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474619
We discuss the empirical importance of long term cyclical effects in the volatility of financial returns. Following … existence of significant long term cyclical patterns in volatility with a strongly supported periodic component corresponding to … US economy and long term changes in the volatility of the basic stock market index …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007872