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The presence of time series momentum effect has been widely documented in the financial markets across asset classes and countries. We find a predictable pattern of the realized semi-variance to the future individual asset return, especially during the stressed states of time series momentum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836027
Purpose - This research study aims to design a novel risk-managed time-series momentum approach. The present study also examines the time-series momentum effect in the Indian equity market. Apart from this, the study also proposes a novel risk-managed time-series momentum approach....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014339133
combining market fundamentals and timing opportunity with respect to market trend and volatility, the optimal strategy based on … robust for different time horizons, short-sale constraints, market states, investor sentiment, and market volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962880
Volatility is an important component of asset pricing; an increase in volatility on markets can trigger changes in the … hypothesized that there are movements in risk that are driven by volatility linked to sentiment-driven noise trader activity whose … investor sentiment and stock return volatility which shows that behavioural finance can significantly explain the behaviour of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012023919
study we investigate the mean-volatility spillover effects that happen across international stock markets. The study, by … taking into consideration the stock market returns based on various indices, investigates the mean-volatility spillover … precise and separate measures of return spillovers and volatility spillovers. The analysis provides the evidence of strong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011872506
We build an equilibrium model to explain why stock return predictability concentrates in bad times. The key feature is that investors use different forecasting models, and hence assess uncertainty differently. As economic conditions deteriorate, uncertainty rises and investors' opinions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011721618
inspired the outline of the Volatility Asset Pricing Model (VAPM) based on the market’s expected volatility and the serial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460249
market, size, value, momentum, investment, profitability, and volatility. The value-added induced by factor management via ….g. factor volatility or factor valuation. For the majority of factors, our strategies appear successful especially in recessions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012588643
based on averages of past futures returns, normalized by their volatility. We test these strategies on a universe of 64 … asset class, realized futures volatility is contemporaneously negatively related to the Fama and French (1987) market (MKT … in trading costs. We construct measures of momentum-specific volatility, both within and across asset classes, and show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011293745
Accurately forecasting volatility is key in many financial applications. In this study, I suggest that individuals … hits lead changes in market volatility. I show that a regressor based on search engine data can provide a meaningful …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917624