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The presence of time series momentum effect has been widely documented in the financial markets across asset classes and countries. We find a predictable pattern of the realized semi-variance to the future individual asset return, especially during the stressed states of time series momentum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836027
decomposing realized volatility in its continuous and discontinuous jump component. First, we analyze the relation between … volatility and trading activity. Coherent with existing studies we find that the driving factor of the relation between … Data ; Realized Volatility ; Price Jump ; Trading Activity ; Urgent Market Message …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008989697
In this paper, we investigate the dynamic response of stock market volatility to changes in monetary policy. Using a … vector autoregressive model, our findings reveal a significant and asymmetric response of stock returns and volatility to … monetary policy shocks. Although the increase in the volatility risk premium, futures-trading volume, and leverage appear to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395968
Accurately forecasting volatility is key in many financial applications. In this study, I suggest that individuals … hits lead changes in market volatility. I show that a regressor based on search engine data can provide a meaningful …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917624
recently. - Horizontal dependence of volatility: Volatility is not constant, it is mean-reverting and it tends to cluster … (meaning that high volatility is likely to be followed by high volatility periods, and vice-versa). Moreover, volatility … theory - stated differently, the returns distribution has fat tails. Moreover, shocks have a strong impact on volatility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127555
combining market fundamentals and timing opportunity with respect to market trend and volatility, the optimal strategy based on … robust for different time horizons, short-sale constraints, market states, investor sentiment, and market volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962880
We studied (i) the volatility feedback effect, defined as the relationship between contemporaneous returns and the … market-based volatility, and (ii) the leverage effect, defined as the relationship between lagged returns and the current … market-based volatility. For our analysis, we used daily measures of volatility estimated from high frequency data to explain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012309061
volatility índices (namely the originally created RTSVX and the new RVI that has replaced it), using daily data over the period …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903723
based on averages of past futures returns, normalized by their volatility. We test these strategies on a universe of 64 … asset class, realized futures volatility is contemporaneously negatively related to the Fama and French (1987) market (MKT … in trading costs. We construct measures of momentum-specific volatility, both within and across asset classes, and show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011293745
This paper considers spot variance path estimation from datasets of intraday high frequency asset prices in the presence of diurnal variance patterns, jumps, leverage effects and microstructure noise. We rely on parametric and nonparametric methods. The estimated spot variance path can be used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379469