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market, volatility and jump risks, and observation error of time changes. To operationalize the models, we use volume …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012134215
estimate complex latent state variable models with unknown parameters. The framework is applied to a stochastic volatility … model with independent jumps in returns and volatility. The implementation is based on a novel design of adapted proposal … algorithm to estimate stochastic volatility with jumps in returns and volatility model based on the Prague stock exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916933
Volatility has been one of the most active and successful areas of research in time series econometrics and economic … empirical insights to emerge from this burgeoning literature, with a distinct focus on forecasting applications. Volatility is … inherently latent, and Section 1 begins with a brief intuitive account of various key volatility concepts. Section 2 then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023691
This paper proposes a parsimonious threshold stochastic volatility (SV) model for financial asset returns. Instead of … imposing a threshold value on the dynamics of the latent volatility process of the SV model, we assume that the innovation of … time-varying volatility of returns, but also can accommodate the asymmetric shape of conditional distribution of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084224
This paper presents an empirical investigation of scaling and multifractal properties of US Dollar–Deutschemark (USD–DEM) returns. The data set is ten years of 5-min returns. The cumulative return distributions of positive and negative tails at different time intervals are linear in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975255
We estimate a general microstructure model of the transitory and permanent impact of order flow on stock prices. Jumps are detected in both the transaction price (observation equation) and fundamental value (state equation). The model's parameters and variances are updated in real time. Prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256970
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003564452
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003553502
A class of semiparametric fractional autoregressive GARCH models (SEMIFAR-GARCH), which includes deterministic trends, difference stationarity and stationarity with short-and long-range dependence, and heteroskedastic model errors, is very powerful for modelling financial time series. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003876744
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009301130