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We introduce a new class of momentum strategies, the risk-adjusted time series momentum (RAMOM) strategies, which are … how these volatility measures can be used for risk management. We find that momentum risk management significantly … increases Sharpe ratios, but at the same time may lead to more pronounced negative skewness and tail risk. Furthermore, momentum …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011293745
and risk features than very simple and very complex models. Combinations of two strategies help, in particular, to reduce … risk features like volatility and largest loss, which indicates that complete densities provide useful information for risk. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011563065
financial returns data and is used for the univariate fits, but its convolutions, necessary for portfolio risk calculations, are … computationally cheap and extremely accurate - most notably in the tail, which is crucial for risk calculations. A simulation study …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003961455
Most papers in the portfolio choice literature have examined linear predictability frameworks based on the idea that simple but flexible Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models can be expanded to produce portfolio allocations that hedge against the bull and bear dynamics typical of financial markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009658243
This paper addresses the open debate about the effectiveness and practical relevance of highfrequency (HF) data in portfolio allocation. Our results demonstrate that when used with proper econometric models, HF data offers gains over daily data and more importantly these gains are maintained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009306337
This paper addresses the open debate about the usefulness of high-frequency (HF) data in large-scale portfolio allocation. Daily covariances are estimated based on HF data of the S&P 500 universe employing a blocked realized kernel estimator. We propose forecasting covariance matrices using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009308302
studies have shown and translate into substantial utility gains from the perspective of an investor with pronounced risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009714536
Fund-of-funds (FoF) managers face the task of selecting a (relatively) small number of hedge funds from a large universe of candidate funds. We analyse whether such a selection can be successfully achieved by looking at the track records of the available funds alone, using advanced statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014203754
We develop a new test for threshold-type regime changes in the risk exposures in portfolios with a large number of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853517
We introduce a simulation-free method to model and forecast multiple asset returns and employ it to investigate the optimal ensemble of features to include when jointly predicting monthly stock and bond excess returns. Our approach builds on the Bayesian Dynamic Linear Models of West and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910552