We examine the private information associated with insider trades using a Chinese data set. Insider buys positively forecast individual stock returns and insider sales negatively forecast individual stock returns. Classifying insiders as corporate managers and institutional investors, we find...

In the classical Kalman-Bucy filter and in the subsequent literature so far, it has been assumed that the initial value of the signal process is independent of both the noise of the signal and of the noise of the observations.The purpose of this paper is to prove a filtering equation for a...

This note is concerned with two recent agent-based models of speculative dynamics from the literature, one by Gaunersdorfer and Hommes and the other by He and Li. At short as well as long lags, both of them display an autocorrelation structure in absolute and squared returns that comes...