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We introduce a new class of momentum strategies, the risk-adjusted time series momentum (RAMOM) strategies, which are … how these volatility measures can be used for risk management. We find that momentum risk management significantly … increases Sharpe ratios, but at the same time may lead to more pronounced negative skewness and tail risk. Furthermore, momentum …
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The paper develops a tail risk forecasting model that incorporates the wealth of economic and financial information … information improves Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall forecasts as compared to popular tail risk forecasting methods. Under an … available to risk managers. The approach can be viewed as a regularized extension of the two-stage GARCH-EVT model of McNeil and …
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This note is concerned with two recent agent-based models of speculative dynamics from the literature, one by Gaunersdorfer and Hommes and the other by He and Li. At short as well as long lags, both of them display an autocorrelation structure in absolute and squared returns that comes...
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