There is a general acceptance of the fact that a significant direct relationship between financial markets and macroeconomic variables exists, especially by considering the assertion that developed financial markets correspond to high GDP levels. This paper provides an investigation of the...

Chapter 1. Introduction -- Chapter 2. CAMPLET: Seasonal adjustment without revisions -- Chapter 3. Seasonal adjustment of economic tendency survey data -- Chapter 4. Residual Seasonality: A Comparison of X13 and CAMPLET -- Chapter 5. COVID-19 and Seasonal Adjustment -- Chapter 6. Seasonal...

We modify the Laubach-Williams and Holston-Laubach-Williams models of the natural rate of interest to account for time-varying volatility and a persistent COVID supply shock during the pandemic. Resulting estimates of the natural rate of interest in the United States, Canada, and the Euro Area...