Showing 1 - 10 of 1,160
cent over a two-year horizon. Both cyclical (subdued demand) and structural (decline in level of inflation) factors have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011341750
For many developing countries, historical inflation figures are rarely available. We propose a simple method that aims … to recover such figures of inflation using prices of postage stamps issued in earlier years. We illustrate our method for … Suriname, where annual inflation rates are available for 1961 until 2015, and where fluctuations in inflation rates are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011854870
. Adding inflation as a second variable, we uncover two states in which expected consumption growth is low, one with high and … one with negative expected inflation. Embedded in a general equilibrium asset pricing model with learning, these dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012797771
This study empirically addresses claims about the effects of strikes on output growth, inflation, and non … any case, this was not contested. Our findings, however, contradict the claims that strikes ensue inflation and …-agriculture employment but has no effect on inflation. The inflation finding suggests that strikes do not cause a wage-price spiral because …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014503139
Background: Hedging against inflation assumes instruments such as gold, stocks, fixed income securities, and real … estate. There still exists a lack of appropriate strategy to hedge against inflation. Objectives: This paper examines the … possibilities for hedging against inflation in Croatia offered by the Zagreb Stock Exchange indices. Methods/Approach: Based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013325399
Monitoring and forecasting price developments in the euro area is essential in the light of the second pillar of the ECBu0092s monetary policy strategy. This study analyses whether the forecasting accuracy of forecasting aggregate euro area inflation can be improved by aggregating forecasts of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635954
A key application of long memory time series models concerns inflation. Long memory implies that shocks have a long … such level shifts are not unlikely for inflation, where the shifts may be caused by sudden oil price shocks, we examine … whether evidence for long memory (indicated by the relevance of an ARFIMA model) in G7 inflation rates is spurious or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014184339
consistent with the official monetary policy. Second, we seek to shed light on the inflation process of these countries. To this … end, we carry out an estimation of an open economy Philips curve (PC). Our main finding is that inflation rates were not … monetary arrangements for price stability. The analysis of the conditional inflation variance obtained from GARCH estimation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014202611
consider U.S. inflation dynamics. A purely noncausal AR model gets the strongest support, but there is also substantial … evidence in favor of other noncausal AR models allowing for dependence on past inflation. Thus, although U.S. inflation … specifications seem to yield inflation forecasts which are superior to those from alternative models especially at longer forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014202739
ability to describe the US inflation data. Specifically, the model allows for long memory in the conditional mean formulation … yields a good description of the salient features, including skewness and heteroskedasticity, of the US inflation data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014205690