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Forecasting tourist arrivals with Google trends and mixed frequency data

Havránek, Tomáš; Zeynalov, Ayaz - 2018

whether Google Trends provides significant forecasting improvements over models without search data. Second, we assess whether … a high-frequency variable (weekly Google Trends) is more useful for accurate forecasting than a low-frequency variable … arrivals, is useful for predicting the actual number of tourist arrivals. The MIDAS forecasting model that employs weekly …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012002651

Impact of Tourism Consumption on GDP. The Role of Imports

Martín, Raúl Hernández - 2004

The aim of this paper is to analyse the effects of tourism consumption on imports. The basic idea is that conversion of tourism expenditure into value added and GP depends on the effect of the former on imports. Imports are leakages that reduce the economic impact of tourism in a destination and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011324899

Investment in Tourism Market: A Dynamic Model of Differentiated Oligopoly

Cellini, Roberto; Candela, Guido - 2004

We present a theoretical model in tourism economics, assuming that the market for tourism is an oligopoly with differentiated products. Destinations (i.e., countries, regions, sites or even firms) can invest in order to improve their carrying capacity that can be interpreted as the stock of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011324900

Tourism and Economic Growth in Latin American Countries: A Panel Data Approach

Eugenio-Martín, Juan Luis; Morales, Noelia Martín; … - 2004

We consider the relationship between tourism and economic growth for Latin American countries since 1985 until 1998. The analysis proposed is based on a panel data approach and the Arellano-Bond estimator for dynamic panels. We obtain estimates of the relationship between economic growth and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011324906

A General Equilibrium Analysis of Climate Change Impacts on Tourism

Bigano, Andrea; Berrittella, Maria; Roson, Roberto; … - 2004

This paper studies the economic implications of climate-change-induced variations in tourism demand, using a world CGE model. The model is first re-calibrated at some future years, obtaining hypothetical benchmark equilibria, which are subsequently perturbed by shocks, simulating the effects of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011325003

EU-Erweiterung im Kontext zunehmender Internationalisierung - Auswirkungen auf den Tourismus

Ahlert, Gerd - 2005

Der vorliegende Beitrag "EU-Erweiterung im Kontext zunehmender Internationalisierung: Auswirkungen auf den Tourismus" wurde als Gutachten im Auftrag des Büros für Technikfolgen-Abschätzung beim Deutschen Bundestag (TAB) erstellt. Ergebnisse dieser Untersuchung sind auch in den TAB-Bericht...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334417

Auswirkungen des zusätzlichen Incoming-Tourismus während der FIFA WM 2006 auf die gesamtwirtschaftliche Entwicklung

Ahlert, Gerd - 2006

Vom 9.Juni bis zum 9.Juli 2006 wird vom Deutschen Fußball-Bund (DFB) in Deutschland die FIFA WM 2006 ausgerichtet. In der öffentlichen Diskussion wird in diesem Zusammenhang sehr häufig neben der sportlichen Dimension dieses Megaevents auch seine ökonomische Dimension betont. Nach...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334455

Die volkswirtschaftliche Bedeutung des Tourismus: Ergebnisse des TSA für Deutschland

Ahlert, Gerd - 2005

Üblicherweise Weise werden im Rahmen der traditionellen Tourismusstatistik nur wenige ergänzende monetäre Informationen zum Tourismus regelmäßig zusammengestellt. Sie beschränken sich oftmals nur auf Angaben zum Beherbergungs- und Gastronomiegewerbe. Außerdem ist keine konsistente...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334461

Cultural effects on inbound tourism into the USA: a gravity approach

Vietze, Christoph - 2008

In this paper we discuss the effects of cultural and particular religious factors on tourist flows into the USA as the world largest tourism destination. To estimate this empirically we run an augmented gravity equation. Our results give evidence that the gravity equation is an adequate...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263883

Effects of tourism upon the economy of small and medium-sized European cities: Cultural tourists and 'the others'

Del Corpo, Barbara; Gasparino, Ugo; Bellini, Elena; … - 2008

The paper presents the results of the application of an Input-Output-based approach for the estimation of direct, indirect and induced effects of tourist spending on local economies, in a static partial equilibrium setting. The methodology has been successfully applied in three case studies...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270957

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