Dem Beitritt zur Europäischen Union (EU), den zahlreiche Länder anstreben, wird mit einiger Verzögerung die Einführung des Euro folgen. Schon jetzt stellen sich daher zwei grundsätzliche Fragen: Erstens, ist die Europäische Zentralbank (EZB) auch dann mit den derzeit gegebenen...

This paper uses data on currency options prices for the exchange rates of the three largest new EU member states Poland, Czech Republic and Hungary vis-à-vis the euro and the US dollar to estimate the risk-neutral density (RND) functions and the density interval bands. Analysing the RNDs, we...

The paper analyses the potential for lending booms in the three biggest new EU Member States (the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland) during the process of euro adoption. Experiences of some old members (Greece, Ireland and Portugal) and the econometric evidence speak in favour of strong loan...

We investigate the impact of fiscal variables on bond yield spreads relative to US Treasury bonds in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Russia and Turkey from May 1998 to December 2007. To account for the importance of market expectations we use projected values for fiscal and macroeconomic...