This article estimates the effects of monetary policy on components of aggregate demand using quarterly data on Turkish economy from 1987–2008 by means of structural Vector Autoregression (VAR) methodology. This study adopts Uhlig's (2005) sign restrictions on the impulse responses of main...

In this paper we provide probability forecasts of key Turkish macro economic variables such as inflation and output growth. Some probabilistic forecasts of different scenarios associated to those variables are also calculated. The probability forecasts take different types of uncertainties...

This paper aims to measure the level of economic and financial uncertainty in Turkey. More specifically, it constructs a search-based ‘Turkish Economic and Financial Uncertainty Index' (TEFUI) and employs the real-time monthly Google Trends data to cover the period from January 2004 to...

In this study, we examine the effects of a shock in foreign interest rate on the macroeconomic performance of Turkey. We use two different structural vector autoregression models (SVAR) and specify them differently for the pre and post 2001:6 period. Based on the results of the SVAR models we...

This paper examines the impact of negative interest rate announcements of the ECB on Turkish financial markets. Negative Interest Rate Policies (NIRP) are expected to affect emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) through an increase in the inflow of capital searching for higher yields....

This paper examines the impact of negative interest rate announcements of the ECB on Turkish financial markets. Negative Interest Rate Policies (NIRP) are expected to affect emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) through an increase in the inflow of capital searching for higher yields....

Makro ekonomik göstergelerde 2002 yılından itibaren yaşanan olumlu gelişmelere rağmen, aynı yıldan itibaren Türkiye'de cari açık temel makroekonomik sorun olarak 2012 yılına kadar önemini artırarak devam etmiştir. Türkiye'nin cari açığı azaltarak yönetilebilir bir düzeye...

This paper investigates the relationship between reel macroeconomic variables and stock prices in Turkey. Consumption expenditures, industrial production index, employment level and fixed investments are used as indicators of real economic activity and consumption price index as an indicator of...