This paper investigates whether current and future domestic and international macroeconomic variables can explain long and short run stock returns in four 'new' European countries (Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia and Hungary). 'Old' western European countries (UK, France, Italy and Germany) are...

This paper estimates the magnitude of key effects on the real economy from financial sector stress. We focus on the short-run feedback effect from market-based indicators of financial sector risk to the real economy through the credit channel, and estimate this effect on an economy-wide (macro)...