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Inflation differentials in the Euro area are mainly due to a sustained divergence of wage developments across the Euro … inflation using unit labour cost (ULC) growth and applying PANIC (Bai and Ng, 2004) and cluster procedures (Hobijn and Franses …
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euro area and Japanese inflation dynamics are best explained by Taylor-style contracts, while Buiter …-Jewitt/Fuhrer-Moore contracts perform somewhat better in fitting U.S. inflation dynamics. We are unable to fit Calvo-style contracts to inflation … backward-looking element. The completed model matches inflation and output dynamics in the United States, the euro area and …
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, subsequently, we didn't see the inflation they predicted. We show that these puzzles disappear in a Vector Autoregressive model … much of the inflation dynamics in the 2012-2014 euro area missing inflation episode. Consequently, economists and models … that excessively focused on the global nature of inflation were liable to miss the contribution of deflationary domestic …
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