affiliation of the future governor is a source of political risk to firms considering business investment. More importantly, the …We estimate the effect of electorally induced policy uncertainty on investment in the manufacturing sector. Because …, and because the policies relevant to business investment vary systematically by party, uncertainty over the partisan …

This paper examines the effect of a change in U.S. trade policy on the domestic investment of U.S. manufacturers. Using … uncertainty exhibit relative declines in investment after the change in trade policy. Within industries, we find that this … increase in investment. We also find evidence that establishments' investment activity is smoother following the policy change …