main contribution is that we model the Euro area countries separately. In this version we consider Germany and France … zunächst drei Länder modelliert, nämlich die USA und aus dem Euro-Währungsgebiet Deutschland und Frankreich, die zusammen etwa …

This paper investigates why the slope of the yield curve predicts future economic activity in Germany and the United … spread in that country. However, the main reason for the stronger leading indicator property in Germany is the positive … at lag four in Germany and almost nothing in the United States …