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Eliciting GDP forecasts from the FOMC's minutes around the financial crisis
Ericsson, Neil R. - In: International journal of forecasting 32 (2016) 2, pp. 571-583
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011597221
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State dependent asymmetric loss and the consensus forecast of real US GDP growth
Higgins, Matthew Lawrence; Mishra, Sagarika - In: Economic modelling 38 (2014), pp. 627-632
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010418959
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Financial-cycle ratios and medium-term predictions of GDP : evidence from the United States
Moramarco, Graziano - In: International journal of forecasting 40 (2024) 2, pp. 777-795
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014547205
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Aggregate financial misreporting and the predictability of U.S. recessions and GDP growth
Beneish, Messod D.; Farber, David B.; Glendening, Matthew; … - In: The accounting review : a publication of the American … 98 (2023) 5, pp. 129-159
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014374965
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Anchoring bias in consensus forecasts and its effect on market prices
Campbell, Sean D.; Sharpe, Steven A. - In: Journal of financial and quantitative analysis : JFQA 44 (2009) 2, pp. 369-390
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003865568
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Forecast bias of government agencies
Krol, Robert - In: The Cato journal : an interdisciplinary journal of … 34 (2014) 1, pp. 99-112
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010381010
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Wishful bias in predicting US recessions : indirect evidence
Smirnov, Sergej V.; Avdeeva, Daria A. - 2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011551516
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Anchoring bias in consensus forecasts and its effect on market prices
Campbell, Sean D.; Sharpe, Steven A. - 2007
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003826933
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Using bank supervisory data to improve macroeconomic forecasts
Peek, Joe; Rosengren, Eric S.; Tootell, Geoffrey M. B. - In: New England economic review (1999), pp. 21-32
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001430772
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Are Engel curve estimates of CPI bias biased?
Logan, Trevon D. - 2008
"A recent literature has advanced the use of Engel curves to estimate overall CPI bias. In this paper, I show that the … methodology is sensitive to the modeling of household demography. Existing estimates of CPI bias do not account for the changing … effect of household size on budget shares, and this can lead to omitted variable bias. Since the effect of household size on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003693093