This paper examines the long-run effects of supply shocks (such as oil shocks) on inflation in the United States. The … persistence of supply shocks in U.S. inflation fell considerably during the period of Volcker's disinflation (1979-1982). My … the behavior of inflation expectations-agents expected shocks to persist in the pre-Volcker period, but not in the post …

This paper examines five problems with the inflation indexing procedures used by the Social Security Administration of … the United States in taking inflation into account when calculating Old Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Benefits … indexing. As a result of Problems #2 and #4 your OASI check will be larger if wage inflation happens to be extra high in your …

States in taking inflation into account when calculating Old Age and Survivor Insurance (OASI) Benefits. Because of the … receives an annual benefit more than $1,800 larger than would have been generated with full indexing. While the inflation …-run financial instability for the OASI trust fund in periods of substantial inflation or deflation. They make the percentage …

Using the statistical technique of fuzzy clustering, regimes of inflation and unemployment are explored for the United … inflation/unemployment space. There is considerable similarity across the countries in both the regimes themselves and in the … timings of the transitions between regimes. However, the typical rates of inflation and unemployment experienced in the …

A key application of long memory time series models concerns inflation. Long memory implies that shocks have a long … such level shifts are not unlikely for inflation, where the shifts may be caused by sudden oil price shocks, we examine … exaggerated. Our main findings are that apparent longmemory is quite resistant to level shifts, although for a few inflation rates …

Using frequency domain techniques to separate short and long run dynamics and decomposing inflation into its common and … idiosyncratic components, we study the regime dependence of the inflation-RPV relation in Argentina and the USA. Under High … inflation, strong long-run comovement between RPV and Inflation is found for both economies, that extends to the short run …

Over the last two centuries, the cross-spectral coherence between either narrow or broad money growth and inflation at … other countries, thus implying that the fraction of inflation’s long-run variation explained by long-run money growth has … correspondence with the inflationary outbursts associated with World War I and the Great Inflation–but not World War II …

theoretical predictions and simulations are corroborated when forecasting aggregate US inflation pre- and post 1984 using …

We analyze the welfare cost of inflation in a model with cash-in-advance constraints and an endogenous distribution of … establishments' productivities. Inflation distorts aggregate productivity through firm entry dynamics. The model is calibrated to the … United States economy and the long-run equilibrium properties are compared at low and high inflation. We find that, when the …

While the long run relation between money and inflation is well established, empirical evidence on the adjustment to … volatility of the transmission from monetary pressure to inflation follows some structure, i.e., if the parameter regime can …Während die Langfristbeziehung zwischen Geld und Inflation in der Literatur als weitgehend gesichert gilt, ist …