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increases in risk taking. Where we can separately identify changes in risk-independent performance and risk taking, our … increases in risk taking. These effects are concentrated among those closest to the margin of elimination and among lower …
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This paper evaluates the predictive out-of-sample forecasting properties of six different economic uncertainty variables for both growth in aggregate M2 and growth in household-sector M2 in the U.S. using data between 1971m1 and 2014m12. The core contention is that economic uncertainty improves...
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