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We study the time-varying effects of Tobin's q and cash flow on investment dynamics in the USA using a vector … variation over time of the response of investment to shocks in both variables. The time-varying sensitivity of investment to a … show that, although Tobin's q and cash flow are complementary sources of information for investment decisions, their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014483612
investment over an out-of-sample period from 1983:Q1 to 2011:Q2, based on an in-sample estimates for 1963:Q1 to 1982:Q4. Both …, as well as 20 bivariate regression models, capture the influence of fundamentals in forecasting residential investment … residential investment, via an ex-ante forecast exercise from 2011:Q3 to 2012:Q4. The SSVS-Large model forecasts the turning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973249
When investment is irreversible, theory suggests that firms will be "reluctant to invest." This reluctance creates a … wedge between the discount rate guiding investment decisions and the standard Jorgensonian user cost (adjusted for risk). We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264335
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003425629
Is real investment fully determined by fundamentals or is it sometimes affected by stock market misvaluation? We … introduce three new tests that: measure the reaction of investment to sales shocks for firms that may be overvalued; use Fama … misvaluation into standard investment equations to estimate the quantitative effect of misvaluation on investment. Overall, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009736657
We estimate a New-Neoclassical Synthesis model of the business cycle with two investment shocks. The first, an … investment-specific technology shock, affects the transformation of consumption into investment goods and is identified with the … relative price of investment. The second shock affects the production of installed capital from investment goods or, more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003948199
Macroeconomic and sector-specific shocks exert differential effects on investment in disaggregate sectoral data. The … monotonically. A calibrated model of investment with convex capital adjustment costs and rational inattention explains these … features of the data. The model matches the empirical responses of sectoral investment because learning about shocks generates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827670
The anemic U.S. economic recovery and the threat of a double-dip recession stem from the weakness of investment, due to ….e., the all-time-high indebtedness in the face of falling asset prices) are preventing investment from picking up and are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081838
In the current literature uncertainty about the future course of the economy is identified as a possible driver of business cycle fluctuations. In fact, uncertainty surrounds the movements of all economic variables which gives rise to a monitoring problem. We identify the different dimensions of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010188870
Uncertainty about the future course of the economy is a possible driver of aggregate fluctuations. To identify the different dimensions of uncertainty in the macroeconomy we construct a large dataset covering all types of economic uncertainty. We then identify two fundamental factors which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412767