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Prediction Markets, sometimes referred to as "information markets", "idea futures" or "event futures", are markets …
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&P500 futures have experienced increasing volatility persistence to shocks over the 1990s. In all remaining markets, hedgers … most futures returns in the 29 US markets were leptokurtic …
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This paper analyzes the integration of the American, European, and Asian natural gas markets over the period 2016-2022, with a focus on how the demand shock caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and the supply shock caused by geopolitical tensions in the European market affected this integration. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014327618
This paper examines whether political events create, or resolve uncertainty in financial markets. In the few days following the surprise outcomes of the Brexit referendum and the 2016 U.S. presidential election, bid-ask spreads increase, quoted depth decreases, and volatility increases. We fail...
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In a complete market for short-lived assets, we investigate long run wealth-driven selection on a general class of investment rules that depend on endogenously determined current and past prices. We find that market instability, leading to asset mis-pricing and informational efficiencies, is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008729026
We provide simple examples to illustrate how wealth-driven selection works in asset markets. Our examples deliver both good and bad news. The good news is that if individual assets demands are expressed as a fractions of wealth to be invested in each asset, e.g. because traders maximize an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009009683
We examine the impact of trading on markets partially exempt from National Market System requirements (‘dark venues') on equity market quality. We find evidence consistent with the notion that dark venues rely on their special features to segregate order flow based on asymmetric information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063784