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contagion tests for recipient markets vulnerable to disturbances from this source market. The S&P 500 is decomposed into …
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) countries and the United States of America (US). It unfolds their exposure to contagion effects during the major financial … these data to determine the multihorizon nature of comovement (pure contagion or interdependence) and the dynamics of market … pure contagion. Such transmission generated short-term shocks. Most of the earlier shocks, particularly the US subprime and …
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In this paper we investigate whether the dynamic properties of the U.S. business cycle have changed in the last fifty years. For this purpose we develop a flexible business cycle indicator that is constructed from a moderate set of macroeconomic time series. The coincident economic indicator is...
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