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substantially more sensitive to central bank communication around policy meetings. Short-term interest rates react three to four …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604914
advanced economies was constrained by the effective lower bound (ELB) on nominal interest rates. Several central banks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011873794
This paper tests the expectations hypothesis (EH) of the term structure of interest rates in US data, using spectral … and the change in the long-term interest rate in a frequency band of 6 months to 4 years, whereas the relation is negative …-term interest rates dominates at high and low frequencies, leading the EH to be rejected in those bands but not in the intermediate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605022
We study the joint dynamics of macroeconomic variables, bond yields, and the exchange rate in an empirical two-country New-Keynesian model complemented with a no-arbitrage term structure model. With Canadian and US data, we are able to study the impact of macroeconomic shocks from both countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010279943
We investigate the macroeconomic determinants of corporate spreads using a no-arbitrage technique. Structural shocks are identified by a New-Keynesian model. Treasury bonds are priced in an affine model with time-varying risk premia. Corporate bonds are priced in a reduced-form credit risk model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010279950
McCallum (1994a) proposes a monetary rule where policymakers have some tendency to resist rapid changes in exchange rates to explain the forward premium puzzle. We estimate this monetary policy reaction function within the framework of an affine term structure model to find that, contrary to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010279999
model of interest rate determination. The empirical part consists of a cointegration analysis with an error correction … frequently mentioned structural effects on long-term interest rates. Finally, our bond yield equation outperforms a random walk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010308389
limited liability), they offer mortgages at less than actuarially fair interest rates. This opens the door to home ownership …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012670328
of interest rate determination in which risk premia are captured via the macroeconomic (policy) environment. The …-term interest rates and the business cycle. A changed structural demand for bonds does not seem to be at work. The existing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012002995
Financial repression lowers the return on government debt and contributes, all else equal, towards its liquidation. However, its full effect on the debt-to-GDP ratio hinges on how repression impacts the economy at large because it alters investment and saving decisions. We develop and estimate a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014559288