Showing 1 - 10 of 4,515
This paper examines the long-run effects of supply shocks (such as oil shocks) on inflation in the United States. The … persistence of supply shocks in U.S. inflation fell considerably during the period of Volcker's disinflation (1979-1982). My … the behavior of inflation expectations-agents expected shocks to persist in the pre-Volcker period, but not in the post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293489
States in taking inflation into account when calculating Old Age and Survivor Insurance (OASI) Benefits. Because of the … receives an annual benefit more than $1,800 larger than would have been generated with full indexing. While the inflation …-run financial instability for the OASI trust fund in periods of substantial inflation or deflation. They make the percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298623
Using the statistical technique of fuzzy clustering, regimes of inflation and unemployment are explored for the United … inflation/unemployment space. There is considerable similarity across the countries in both the regimes themselves and in the … timings of the transitions between regimes. However, the typical rates of inflation and unemployment experienced in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299186
Using frequency domain techniques to separate short and long run dynamics and decomposing inflation into its common and … idiosyncratic components, we study the regime dependence of the inflation-RPV relation in Argentina and the USA. Under High … inflation, strong long-run comovement between RPV and Inflation is found for both economies, that extends to the short run …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325092
theoretical predictions and simulations are corroborated when forecasting aggregate US inflation pre- and post 1984 using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605201
While the long run relation between money and inflation is well established, empirical evidence on the adjustment to … volatility of the transmission from monetary pressure to inflation follows some structure, i.e., if the parameter regime can …Während die Langfristbeziehung zwischen Geld und Inflation in der Literatur als weitgehend gesichert gilt, ist …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271412
Any measure of unobserved inflation uncertainty relies on specific assumptions which are most likely not fulfilled … indicator for inflation uncertainty. Moreover, the idiosyncratic component of survey disagreement contains systematic … that higher inflation is followed by higher uncertainty. By contrast, we obtain contradictory results for the individual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010312179
import prices only to a small extent, it may have a substantial impact on inflation, as it exerts a sizeable impact on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281451
We present new empirical evidence for the US economy that inflation reduces the inequality of the earnings distribution … higher inflation on income distribution is shown to be rather small. However, we find that a longer duration between two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507921
investigate the inflation expectations and uncertainties of firms. We document that, in the aggregate, firm inflation expectations … are very similar to the predictions of professional forecasters for national inflation statistics, despite a somewhat … inflation expectations bear little in common with the "prices in general" expectations reported by households. Next we show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010457601