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Understanding the evolution of real-time beliefs about house price appreciation is central to understanding the U.S. housing crisis. At the peak of the recent housing cycle, both borrowers and lenders appealed to optimistic house price forecasts to justify undertaking increasingly risky loans....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282748
Understanding the evolution of real-time beliefs about house price appreciation is central to understanding the U.S. housing crisis. At the peak of the recent housing cycle, both borrowers and lenders appealed to optimistic house price forecasts to justify undertaking increasingly risky loans....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008657906
Understanding the evolution of real-time beliefs about house price appreciation is central to understanding the U.S. housing crisis. At the peak of the recent housing cycle, both borrowers and lenders appealed to optimistic house price forecasts to justify undertaking increasingly risky loans....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136981
The term structure of equity returns is downward-sloping: stocks with high cash flow duration earn 1.10% per month lower returns than short-duration stocks in the cross section. I create a measure of cash flow duration at the firm level using balance sheet data to show this novel fact. Factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011521939
This paper uses analysts' forecasts to estimate a share's equity duration, a measure of a company's average cash-flow … might be a compensation for the value firms' higher exposure to cash-flow risk. -- equity duration ; value premium … ; analysts' forecasts ; B/M ratio ; cashflow risk ; discount rate risk ; implied cost of capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009671858
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003800221
and debt. When discount rates are low and equity issuance is high, expected cash‐flow growth is low because firms … variation in discount rates that is not offset by common variation with expected cashflow growth. -- asset valuation ; excess …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003230361
This paper decomposes the overall market beta of common stocks into four parts reflecting uncertainty related to the long-run dynamics of stock-specific and market-wide cash flows and discount rates. We employ a discrete time version of Merton's intertemporal capital asset pricing model to test...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236926
The paper assesses the communication strategies of the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and the European Central Bank and their effectiveness. We find that the effectiveness of communication is not independent from the decisionmaking process in the committee. The paper shows that the Federal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604534
A large part of the current debate on US stock price behaviorconcentrates on the question of whether stock prices are driven byfundamentals or by non-fundamental factors(...)
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005843733