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Density forecasts have become quite important in economics and finance. For example, such forecasts play a central role in modern financial risk management techniques like Value at Risk. This paper suggests a regression based density forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001657476
In this paper, we examine potential time-varying correlations between crude oil future and USA bond markets. We employ a dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) multivariate GARCH model in order to quantify potential contagion effects between the markets for the period 2005-2020. We divide the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228335
Density forecasts have become quite important in economics and finance. For example, such forecasts play a central role in modern financial risk management techniques like Value at Risk. This paper suggests a regression based density forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431370
-AGARCH) model to examine both return and volatility spillovers from the USA (developed) and China (Emerging) towards eight emerging … calculate the optimal weights and hedge ratios for the stock portfolios. Our results reveal that both return and volatility … volatility was transmitted from the USA to the majority of the Asian stock markets during the Chinese stock market crash …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388066
This study uses the BEKK-GARCH model to examine the return-and-volatility spillover between the world-leading markets … during the global financial crisis and the crash of the Chinese stock market. Regarding volatility spillover, the results … show the bidirectional volatility transmission between the US and the stock markets of Chile and Mexico during the global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012309325
between real estate and stock markets by fitting different classes of time-varying volatility model; second, to perform VaR … processes, in terms of mean, volatility, correlation, can be compared. In the econometric analyses, we estimate both a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008735767
frequency volatilities and correlations ; Dynamic conditional correlation ; Spline-GARCH ; Idiosyncratic volatility ; Long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003821063
The volatility information content of stock options for individual firms is measured using option prices for 149 U ….S. firms and the S&P 100 index. ARCH and regression models are used to compare volatility forecasts defined by historical stock … returns, at-the-money implied volatilities and model-free volatility expectations for every firm. For one-day-ahead estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003857823
-amerikanischen Häusermarkt die zu anderen Asset-Märkten analogen ARCH-Effekte des Volatility- Clusterings und einer leptokurtischen … Konsequenzen befassen. -- Asset-pricing ; GARCH ; house prices ; house price volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003881343
domestic volatility after good shocks but a bad hedge after crashes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003394353