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-post classification of recessions and non-recessions 95% of the time for the one-quarter forecast horizon and 87% of the time for the four …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605301
We investigate the impact of exogenous income fluctuations on health using twenty years of data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics using techniques from the literature on the estimation of dynamic panel data models. Contrary to much of the previous literature on health and socio-economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010268659
Fiscal policy has become quite controversial in the post-Keynesian era, the debate over the Obama stimulus package being a contentious recent example. Some pundits go so far as to take the position that macroeconomic theory has failed to meaningfully progress in terms of providing useful...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270872
In this paper we analyze the power of various indicators to predict growth rates of aggregate production using real-time data. In addition, we assess their ability to predict turning points of the economy. We consider four groups of indicators: survey data, composite indicators, real economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273164
recessions accelerate this process. In doing so we establish a new fact about the demand for skill over the business cycle. Using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011760041
This paper considers the relationship between local economic conditions and health with a focus on different approaches to geographic aggregation. After reviewing the tradeoffs associated with more- and less-disaggregated analyses - including an investigation of the migratory response to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319534
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011339286
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010362981
Recessions lead to short-term job loss, lower levels of happiness and decreasing income levels. There is growing … disturbing long-run effect of recessions: young people who leave school in the midst of recessions are significantly more likely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010386014