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This paper explores the properties of daily changes in the prices for near-term fed funds futures contracts. The paper finds these contracts to be excellent predictors of the fed funds rate, and shows that the claim of a nonzero term premium in the short-horizon contracts is more sensitive to...
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-the-counter derivatives, including clearing, trade competition, and minimum collateral requirements. My conclusion is that the arguments that … have been made for such an exemption are not sufficient. I focus mainly on the question of clearing, which figures …
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