Our study investigates the explanatory power of future economic conditions on individual stock returns in the US and UK equity markets. We analyse a new trading strategy that is based on rational forecasts of future real activity. In addition, we specifically examine the performance of this...

We propose a new method to estimate the unobservable natural real rate of interest in the United States (US). We begin by describing the natural rate in the New Keynesian model and then theoretically linking its evolution to both demand and supply-side shocks hitting the US economy. Our results...

This paper investigates the differential impact of monetary policy on homeownership and housing returns among Black, Hispanic and White households. Using data on 13 million repeat sales from 1993 to 2020, we construct and analyze race-specific entries and exits of homeownership and housing...