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Sir John Templeton, legendary investor, was famous for saying, "The four most dangerous words in investing are, 'This time it's different.'" He knew that though history doesn't repeat, not exactly, history is an excellent guide for investors.In Markets Never Forget But People Do: How Your Memory...
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Current discussions about public and private pension plans often state that the stock market is less risky in the long run than in the short run. Pension plans with their rather long planning horizon are therefore asked to increase the allocation to the stock market. Such statements, however,...
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occur in what we term “panic” states – following market declines and when market volatility is high, and are contemporaneous … momentum strategy. Further, we show that momentum returns in panic states are correlated with, but not explained by, volatility …
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Conventional financial theory considers ex-ante that risk, generally measured by the volatility, has to be …
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