Showing 1 - 10 of 7,436
dynamics of inflation risk premia over the 1983-2013 period by allowing for time-varying market prices of inflation risk and … incorporating survey information on inflation uncertainty in the estimation. The model captures changes in premia over very diverse … periods, from the inflation scare episodes of the 1980s, when perceived inflation uncertainty was high, to the more recent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011749498
dynamics of inflation risk premia over the 1983-2013 period by allowing for time-varying market prices of inflation risk and … incorporating survey information on inflation uncertainty in the estimation. The model captures changes in premia over very diverse … periods, from the inflation scare episodes of the 1980s, when perceived inflation uncertainty was high, to the more recent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011570647
We use non-Gaussian features in U.S. macroeconomic data to identify aggregate supply and demand shocks while imposing minimal economic assumptions. Recessions in the 1970s and 1980s were driven primarily by supply shocks, later recessions were driven primarily by demand shocks, and the Great...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011709342
We use a joint model of macroeconomic and term structure dynamics to estimate inflation risk premia and inflation … survey data on inflation and interest rate expectations at various future horizons, as well as term structure data from both … sufficiently developed in both monetary areas, inflation risk premia across various maturities had strikingly similar properties in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963028
We use a joint model of macroeconomic and term structure dynamics to estimate inflation risk premia in the United … inflation and interest rate expectations at various future horizons, as well as term structure data from both nominal and index …-linked bonds. Our results show that, in both currency areas, inflation risk premia are relatively small, positive, and increasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135613
We use a joint model of macroeconomic and term structure dynamics to estimate inflation risk premia in the United … inflation and interest rate expectations at various future horizons, as well as term structure data from both nominal and index …-linked bonds. Our results show that, in both currency areas, inflation risk premia are relatively small, positive, and increasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135685
government bonds to derive expected inflation rates and inflation risk premia, in the euro area and in the US. Maximum likelihood … which can be interpreted as two real factors and one inflation factor. These provide important information on expected … inflation and inflation risk premia. The results highlight some striking differences between the euro area and the US. In the US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110054
variables: the dividend yield, two factors driving the one-period real interest rate and the rate of inflation. The model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832616
inflation rates. Expectations about real macroeconomic variables seem to matter more than expectations about nominal factors …Die empirische Literatur zur Zinsstruktur zeigt, dass sich langfristige Zinsen nicht - wie dies die sogenannte …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008660631
Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) are frequently thought of as risk-free real bonds. Using no … informational content of TIPS breakeven inflation, a widely-used proxy for expected inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006559