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The paper empirically analyzes stock market integration and the benefit possibilities of international portfolio diversification across the Southeast Asia (ASEAN) and U.S. equity markets. It employs daily sample of 6 ASEAN equity market indices and S&P 500 index as a proxy of U.S. market index...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065264
A single macroeconomic factor based on growth in the capital share of aggregate income exhibits significant explanatory power for expected returns across a range of equity characteristic portfolios and non-equity asset classes, with risk price estimates that are of the same sign and similar in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913073
Several Bayesian model combination schemes, including some novel approaches that simultaneously allow for parameter uncertainty, model uncertainty and robust time varying model weights, are compared in terms of forecast accuracy and economic gains using financial and macroeconomic time series....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378346
This study develops a style rotation model based on quarterly forecasts of style factor returns, across four style categories, generated using market and macroeconomic data. The prescriptions from this model are tested on a sample of U.S. active equity mutual funds' portfolio holdings. An annual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036050
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011443065
We propose a new approach to model high and low frequency components of equity correlations. Our framework combines a factor asset pricing structure with other specifications capturing dynamic properties of volatilities and covariances between a single common factor and idiosyncratic returns....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003821063
We disentangle U.S. credit spreads' evolution into two distinct parts resulting from market risk and default risk influences. We consider credit spreads (versus Treasury yields) as a credit risk proxy and S&P500 stock index as a market/systematic risk proxy. Such data allow for achieving a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159814
We test whether asymmetric preferences for losses versus gains as in Ang, Chen, and Xing (2006) also affect the pricing of cash flow versus discount rate news as in Campbell and Vuolteenaho (2004). We construct a new four-fold beta decomposition, distinguishing cash flow and discount rate betas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008748123
The equity of too-big-to-fail banks could be deemed less risky due to implicit government guarantees. However, such guarantees could also amplify a moral hazard problem that induces large banks to take excessive risk. If such risk is mispriced by the market due to the increased complexity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839022
This paper adopts the methodology in Bali and Cakici (2008) in tracking the evolution of the relation between equity REITs' idiosyncratic risk and their cross-sectional expected returns between 1981 and 2010. In addition to the full sample period, we study this relation for (i) all sample REITs,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056735