Showing 1 - 10 of 312
Orthodox and heterodox theories of financial crises are hereby compared from a theoretical viewpoint, with emphasis on their genesis. The former view (represented by the fourthgeneration models of Paul Krugman) reflects the neoclassical vision whereby turbulence is an exception; the latter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009380295
Sudden, asymmetric shifts in investor sentiment known as 'flights-to-safety' typically emanate from center economies but propagate globally. In the absence of policy intervention, these financial shocks can spill over and destabilize macroeconomic conditions in many countries. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013245202
We characterize the response of U.S., German and British stock, bond and foreign exchange markets to real-time U.S. macroeconomic news. Our analysis is based on a unique data set of high-frequency futures returns for each of the markets. We find that news surprises produce conditional mean...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298290
China and the U.S. have a close but complicated economic relationship. This note provides a fuller picture of the tightening embrace between the two countries - in terms of flows of goods and services, financial capital and people - and discusses the potential flashpoints in this relationship....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010331376
This paper investigates the role of three likely factors in driving the steady deterioration of the US external balance: US technology developments, changes in the US government fiscal position and the Fed’s monetary policy. Estimating several Vector Autoregressions on US data over the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604765
This paper studies external sovereign bonds as an asset class. We compile a new database of 266,000 monthly prices of foreign-currency government bonds traded in London and New York between 1815 (the Battle of Waterloo) and 2016, covering up to 91 countries. Our main insight is that, as in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822349
This paper develops a multi-sector New Keynesian model of a small open economy that includes commodity, manufacturing, non-tradable, and import sectors. Price and wage rigidities are sector specific, modelled à la Calvo-Yun style contracts. Labour and capital are imperfectly mobile across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010279935
To what extent do national borders and national currencies impose costs that segment markets across countries? To answer this question the authors use a dataset with product-level retail prices and wholesale costs for a large grocery chain with stores in the United States and Canada. They...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280948
The pattern of international trade adjustment is affected by the continuing international role of the dollar and related evidence on exchange rate pass-through to prices. This paper argues that a depreciation of the dollar would have asymmetric effects on flows between the United States and its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283320
Although the dollar has been shown to influence the expected wages of workers, the analysis to date has focused on the male workforce. We show that exchange rate fluctuations also have important implications for women's wages. The dominant wage effects for women—like those for men—arise at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283338