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We used a recursive modeling approach to study whether investors could, in real time, have used information on the comovement of stock markets to forecast stock returns in European stock markets for high-technology firms. We used weekly data on returns in the Neuer Markt, the Nouveau Marché,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260542
This paper explores the evidence for positive hysteresis in the labor market. Using data from the National Longitudinal … Surveys of Youth, we find that negative labor market outcomes during high-unemployment periods are mitigated by exposure to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011791237
We assess the stability of the unemployment gap parameter using linear dynamic Phillips curve models for the United … States. In this study, we allow the unemployment gap parameter to be time-varying such that we can monitor the importance of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012665848
We assess the stability of the unemployment gap parameter using linear dynamic Phillips curve models for the United … States. In this study, we allow the unemployment gap parameter to be time-varying such that we can monitor the importance of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313573
in their unemployment rate and not a decline in labour force participation rate. Policymakers should take account of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157899
' PC (relating the level of the inflation rate, not the change in this rate, to the rate of unemployment); and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013347209
We investigate the controversial issue whether unemployment is related to productivity growth in the long run, using U …. Therefore the secular decline of unemployment since the mid 1990s indeed stemmed from higher average productivity growth. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003827158
. One of the policies necessary to achieve stabilization is full employment. However, the growth rate of unemployment in … the unemployment problem, the volatility of the growth rate of unemployment has to be known in order to launch appropriate … employed to estimate the volatility with symmetric and asymmetric effects. The monthly data on unemployment is downloaded to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155203
Despite a low unemployment rate, wage growth in the U.S. was negligible during the 2013-2015 period. Conventional … linear models of the relationship between wages and unemployment, the so- called wage Phillips curve (WPC), and previous … models of the WPC that rely on regime-switching driven only by changes in unemployment, provide a poor fit in the aftermath …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968186
, interest rates and unemployment in a cointegration framework. Utilizing the nonlinear auto-regressive distributed lag (NARDL …) approach, we show the asymmetric responses of unemployment to changes in oil prices, oil price uncertainty and interest rates … increased unemployment while there is no significant impact of reduced oil prices. On the other hand, reduced oil price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860192