Showing 1 - 10 of 6,470
Despite a low unemployment rate, wage growth in the U.S. was negligible during the 2013-2015 period. Conventional … linear models of the relationship between wages and unemployment, the so- called wage Phillips curve (WPC), and previous … models of the WPC that rely on regime-switching driven only by changes in unemployment, provide a poor fit in the aftermath …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968186
We used a recursive modeling approach to study whether investors could, in real time, have used information on the comovement of stock markets to forecast stock returns in European stock markets for high-technology firms. We used weekly data on returns in the Neuer Markt, the Nouveau Marché,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260542
This paper explores the evidence for positive hysteresis in the labor market. Using data from the National Longitudinal … Surveys of Youth, we find that negative labor market outcomes during high-unemployment periods are mitigated by exposure to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011791237
We assess the stability of the unemployment gap parameter using linear dynamic Phillips curve models for the United … States. In this study, we allow the unemployment gap parameter to be time-varying such that we can monitor the importance of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012665848
We assess the stability of the unemployment gap parameter using linear dynamic Phillips curve models for the United … States. In this study, we allow the unemployment gap parameter to be time-varying such that we can monitor the importance of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313573
in their unemployment rate and not a decline in labour force participation rate. Policymakers should take account of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157899
' PC (relating the level of the inflation rate, not the change in this rate, to the rate of unemployment); and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013347209
We study the problem of obtaining an accurate forecast of the unemployment claims using online search data. The … the unemployment rate. The data regarding initial jobless claims are published by the US Department of labor weekly. To …) architecture of Recurrent Neural Networks, to predict the unemployment claims (initial jobless claims) using the Google Trends …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243156
. One of the policies necessary to achieve stabilization is full employment. However, the growth rate of unemployment in … the unemployment problem, the volatility of the growth rate of unemployment has to be known in order to launch appropriate … employed to estimate the volatility with symmetric and asymmetric effects. The monthly data on unemployment is downloaded to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155203
We investigate the controversial issue whether unemployment is related to productivity growth in the long run, using U …. Therefore the secular decline of unemployment since the mid 1990s indeed stemmed from higher average productivity growth. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003827158