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The US economy is often considered to play a pivotal role in global growth. Such a view has persisted despite the falling contribution of the US economy to global growth (from almost 30% in 1950 to around 20% at present). In this paper, we analyse the veracity of this conjecture and consider the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604844
This paper investigates the dynamics of immigrants' employment assimilation in comparison with the standard static assimilation model. When the effect of past employment experience on current employment possibilities differs between immigrants and natives, then the static assimilation model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011529032
We study international spillover effects of US monetary policy. We use monthly panel data from fifteen major emerging market economies (EMEs), in a period where the countries have a flexible exchange rate regime and are integrated into global financial markets. We show that US monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950741
This paper is mainly concerned with the analysis of regional house price cycles. Based on a newly available data set consisting of the 40 largest U.S. Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs), we introduce a wavelet transform based metric to study the housing cycle synchronization across MSAs. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011306112
In this study we present a statistical analysis of the time series properties of the geographic regions in the OFHEO U.S. house price database. We perform an unobserved components, structural time series analysis of 9 regional indexes and super-regional factors and fit a classic 'smooth trend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157637
This paper is mainly concerned with the analysis of regional house price cycles. Based on a newly available data set consisting of the 40 largest U.S. Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs), we introduce a wavelet transform based metric to study the housing cycle synchronization across MSAs. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017380
I investigate the nonlinear effects of monetary policy through differences in household debt across U.S. states. After constructing a novel indicator of inflation for the states, I compute state-specific monetary policy stances as deviations from an aggregate Taylor rule. I find that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231873
In this paper, we assess how risk-sharing channels have evolved over time in the United States and the Euro Area, and whether they have operated as "complements" or "substitutes". In particular, we focus on the capital channel (income from cross-border ownership of productive assets), the credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014477677
We explore the impacts of economic and financial dislocations caused by COVID-19 pandemic shocks on food sales in the United States from January 2020 to January 2021. We use the US weekly economic index (WEI) to measure economic dislocations and the Chicago Board Options Exchange volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014289042
Using vector autoregressions on U.S. time series relative to an aggregate of industrialized countries, this paper provides new evidence on the dynamic effects of government spending and technology shocks on the real exchange rate and the terms of trade. To achieve identification, we derive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298405