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Over the past two decades, respondents to the Shiller Investor Confidence Surveys assess the probability of a catastrophic stock market crash to be much higher that the historical frequency of such events. We decompose these crash probabilities into fundamental and subjective components and use...
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We look into determinants (volatility, crises, sentiment and the U.S. ‘fear’ index) of herding using BRICS as our … crises. The U.S. ‘fear’ index has a short-lived, limited effect on CSAD/herding (during COVID only) for all countries except … China. In addition, Granger causality analysis indicates a two-way relationship between the U.S. ‘fear’ index and CSAD …
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