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A key application of long memory time series models concerns inflation. Long memory implies that shocks have a long … such level shifts are not unlikely for inflation, where the shifts may be caused by sudden oil price shocks, we examine … exaggerated. Our main findings are that apparent longmemory is quite resistant to level shifts, although for a few inflation rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324616
This paper analyses the long memory properties of quarterly real output per capita in the US (1948Q1 ¿ 2008Q3) using non-parametric, semi-parametric and parametric techniques. The results vary substantially depending on the methodology employed. Evidence of mean reversion is obtained in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271105
This note examines the stochastic properties of US term spreads with parametric and semi-parametric fractional integration techniques. Since the observed data (rather than the estimated residuals from a cointegrating regression) are used for the analysis, standard methods can be applied. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271352
This paper focuses on nominal exchange rates, specifically the US dollar rate vis-à-vis the Euro and the Japanese Yen at a daily frequency. We model both absolute values of returns and squared returns using long-memory techniques, being particularly interested in volatility modelling and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271381
This paper analyses the long memory properties of quarterly real output per capita in the US (1948Q1 2008Q3) using non-parametric, semi-parametric and parametric techniques. The results vary substantially depending on the methodology employed. Evidence of mean reversion is obtained in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271970
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010257552
This study revisits the issue of REITs market efficiency for the US having discovered two notable gaps. Noting the complexities, structural changes and nonlinearities in modern financial markets, we employ the fractional integration technique which performs better than other commonly used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012668306
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012266923
In this paper, long memory behavior of the energy consumption by source of the United States has been examined using the fractional integration technique for the three conventional cases of no regressors, an intercept, and an intercept and a linear trend. In addition, this study extends majority...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012268193
This paper analyses US nominal house prices at an annual frequency over the period from 1927 to 2022 by means of a very general time series model. This includes both a (linear and non-linear) deterministic and a stochastic component, with the latter allowing for fractional orders of integration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014427184