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We forecast recession probabilities for the United States, Germany and Japan. The predictions are based on the widely … reached for the United States, the ProbVAR forecasts are slightly worse for Germany, but considerably inferior for Japan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008688529
Estimating economic earnings mobility is imperative for understanding the degree to which low pay employment is a temporary or long-term position. The current literature estimates transition probabilities between low and higher pay. This study extends the focus to identify the underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012158771
This paper develops a simulation estimation algorithm that is particularly useful for estimating dynamic panel data models with unobserved endogenous state variables. The new approach can easily deal with the commonly encountered and widely discussed "initial conditions problem," as well as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003824296
This paper introduces a new and simple decomposition method for a binary choice model that is equivalent to the Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition analysis for wage differentials. The decomposition method is first developed for a single probit model and later generalized to a simultaneous equations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326421
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720780
In discrete choice models the marginal effect of a variable of interest that is interacted with another variable differs from the marginal effect of a variable that is not interacted with any variable. The magnitude of the interaction effect is also not equal to the marginal effect of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523905
In this paper we introduce a new flexible mixed model for multinomial discrete choice where the key individual- and alternative-specific parameters of interest are allowed to follow an assumptionfree nonparametric density specification while other alternative-specific coefficients are assumed to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003746887
Early work on consumer health insurance preference modeling suggests that workers sorting among employment alternatives reflect their tastes for employment-sponsored health insurance. Focusing on examining the role of health insurance preferences on enrollment decisions into employment sponsored...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955355
Based on data from a representative survey among more than 2200 households, this paper empirically examines the agreement to the German energy transition in total and to six single energy policy measures, which are components of this challenging national policy approach. Our micro-econometric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011621887
This paper introduces a new and simple decomposition method for a binary choice model that is equivalent to the Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition analysis for wage differentials. The decomposition method is first developed for a single probit model and later generalized to a simultaneous equations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001486509