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In this paper, we review the most common specifications of discrete-time stochastic volatility (SV) models and … indices and foreign exchange rates. -- Stochastic volatility ; Markov chain Monte Carlo ; Metropolis-Hastings algorithm Jump …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003770817
accounts for time variation in macroeconomic volatility, known as the great moderation. In particular, we consider an … volatility processes and mixture distributions for the irregular components and the common cycle disturbances enable us to … that time-varying volatility is only present in the a selection of idiosyncratic components while the coefficients driving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011376640
contribution to overall realized variation and their contribution to predictive regressions of realized volatility. We find … individual stocks. -- Itô semi-martingale ; realized volatility ; jumps ; quadratic volatility ; multipower variation ; tripower …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009151972
volatility clustering in clock-time returns, even when trade- time returns are Gaussian. Finally, we highlight conditions on the … directing process which are required in order to generate proper volatility dynamics while simultaneously matching the … unconditional distribution of returns. In-sample fitting and out-of-sample realized volatility forecasting demonstrate the strength …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010392091
relating the growing importance of ETFs to increased market volatility and rising equity valuations. We estimate quantile … cointegration models using Standard & Poor's 500 Index (S&P 500) and Chicago Board Options Exchange volatility Index (VIX) data for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014540299
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008904029
volatility equation and corresponding value-at-risk predictions. We find that most GARCH coefficients and associated predictions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410634
Heteroscedasticity) volatility dynamics. DCS models are robust to extreme observations, whereas standard financial time series models are … observations, stochastic seasonality with dynamic amplitude, and volatility dynamics. These seasonality dynamics of the GTQ/USD are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033379
This paper applies fractional integration and cointegration methods to examine respectively the univariate properties of the four main cryptocurrencies in terms of market capitalization (BTC, ETH, USDT, BNB) and of four US stock market indices (S&P500, NASDAQ, Dow Jones and MSCI for emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013368898
In this paper, we review the most common specifications of discrete-time stochastic volatility (SV) models and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263750