This paper documents a sustained decline in exchange rate pass-through to U.S. import prices, from above 0.5 during the 1980s to somewhere in the neighborhood of 0.2 during the last decade. This decline in the pass-through coefficient is robust to the measure of foreign prices that is included...

We investigate the extent to which the effect of the 2018/2019 US import tariff hikes on US (post-tariff) import prices was offset by the concurrent appreciation of the US dollar and trace the source of the appreciation back to US trade policy itself. The dollar response to trade policy...

With the U.S. trade deficit at high levels, many look to a dollar depreciation to curb the U.S. appetite for foreign goods by pushing up the cost of imports. Yet three factors - the use of the dollar in invoicing U.S. trade, the market share concerns of exporters, and sizable U.S. distribution...

A large body of empirical work has found that exchange rate movements have only modest effects on inflation. However, the response of an import price index to exchange rate movements may be underestimated because some import price changes are missed when constructing the index. We investigate...

Central Banks that are primarily concerned with the behavior of prices will use monetary policy to insulate prices from exchange rate changes. Prices then appear unresponsive to the exchange rate. The observed relationships between prices and the exchange rate will reflect Central Bank actions...

A large body of empirical work has found that exchange rate movements have only modest effects on inflation. However, the response of an import price index to exchange rate movements may be underestimated because some import price changes are missed when constructing the index. We investigate...

US inflation has reached its highest level in decades with academics and the media alike citing supply chain distortions and shortages in key commodities as the driving factors. While some work has been done evaluating the pass-through (PT) of producer to consumer prices, evidence in the...