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Geography or skills: what explains Fed Wachters' forecast accuracy of US monetary policy?
Berger, Helge; Ehrmann, Michael; Fratzscher, Marcel - 2008
The paper shows that there is a substantial degree of heterogeneity in the ability of Fed watchers to forecast US … monetary policy decisions. Based on a novel database for 268 professional forecasters since 1999, the average forecast error of … influencing such heterogeneity as Fed communication is found to affect forecast accuracy significantly. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299141
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Geography or skills: What explains Fed watchers’ forecast accuracy of US monetary policy?
Berger, Helge; Ehrmann, Michael; Fratzscher, Marcel - 2006
The paper shows that there is a substantial degree of heterogeneity in forecast accuracy among Fed watchers. Based on a … novel database for 268 professional forecasters since 1999, the average forecast error of FOMC decisions varies 5 to 10 … financial market volatility after FOMC meetings. Finally, Fed communication may exert an influence on forecast accuracy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604741
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Geography or skills : what explains Fed Wachters' forecast accuracy of US monetary policy?
Berger, Helge (contributor); Ehrmann, Michael (contributor);  … - 2008
The paper shows that there is a substantial degree of heterogeneity in the ability of Fed watchers to forecast US … monetary policy decisions. Based on a novel database for 268 professional forecasters since 1999, the average forecast error of … influencing such heterogeneity as Fed communication is found to affect forecast accuracy significantly. -- Monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003726321
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Central bank accountability and transparency : theory and some evidence
Eijffinger, Sylvester C. W.; Hoeberichts, Marco - 2000
Geldpolitik und die Frage, wer die endgültige Verantwortung für die Geldpolitik trägt. Das Papier zeigt auf, dass die …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011418852
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A tale of four tails : inflation, the policy rate, longer-term rates, and stock prices
Anene, Dominic; D'Amico, Stefania - 2017
We analyze empirical links between the perceived tail-risk of inflation, the policy rate, longer-term interest rates, and equity prices in the U.S. Their simultaneous changes enable us to distinguish between a systematic and "exogenous" response to monetary-policy news. And, those tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011774934
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Using intraday data to gauge financial market responses to Fed and ECB monetary policy decisions
Andersson, Magnus - 2007
This paper examines bond and stock market volatility reactions in the euro area and the US following their respective economies’ monetary policy decisions, over a uniform sample period (April 1999 to May 2006). For this purpose, intraday data on the US and euro area bond and stock markets are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604772
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A tale of four tails: Inflation, the policy rate, longer-term rates, and stock prices
Anene, Dominic; D'Amico, Stefania - 2017
We analyze empirical links between the perceived tail-risk of inflation, the policy rate, longer-term interest rates, and equity prices in the U.S. Their simultaneous changes enable us to distinguish between a systematic and "exogenous" response to monetary-policy news. And, those tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030329
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Communication matters: US monetary policy and commodity price volatility
Hayo, Bernd; Kutan, Ali M.; Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2011
Using a GARCH model, we analyze the influence of U.S. monetary policy action and communication on the price volatility of commodities for the period 1998-2009. We find, first, that U.S. monetary policy events have an economically significant impact on price volatility. Second, expected target...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286427
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Communication matters : US monetary policy and commodity price volatility
Hayo, Bernd; Kutan, Ali Mustafa; Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2011 - This version: March 4, 2011
Using a GARCH model, we analyze the influence of U.S. monetary policy action and communication on the price volatility of commodities for the period 1998-2009. We find, first, that U.S. monetary policy events have an economically significant impact on price volatility. Second, expected target...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008859667
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Repo market effects of the term securities lending facility
Fleming, Michael J.; Hrung, Warren B.; Keane, Frank M. - 2010
The Term Securities Lending Facility (TSLF) was introduced by the Federal Reserve to promote liquidity in the financing markets for Treasury and other collateral. We evaluate one aspect of the program — the extent to which it has narrowed repo spreads between Treasury collateral and less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003948796