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that forecasters' reported use of and estimates of u* are informative about their expectations-formation process, including … their use of a Phillips curve. Those who report not using u* have higher and less anchored inflation expectations, and seem …
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We develop and estimate a general equilibrium model in which monetary policy can deviate from active in.ation stabilization and agents face uncertainty about the nature of these deviations. When observing a deviation, agents conduct Bayesian learning to infer its likely duration. Under...
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