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time variation of stock return volatility (GARCH). In the long-term, our results suggest that the US defense firms only …. -- terrorism ; volatility ; GARCH ; event study …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743349
domestic volatility after good shocks but a bad hedge after crashes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003394353
This paper suggests how to quantify asymmetries in volatility spillovers that emerge due to bad and good volatility … stocks at the disaggregate level. Moreover, the spillovers of bad and good volatility are transmitted at different magnitudes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509638
contribution to overall realized variation and their contribution to predictive regressions of realized volatility. We find … individual stocks. -- Itô semi-martingale ; realized volatility ; jumps ; quadratic volatility ; multipower variation ; tripower …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009151972
-AGARCH) model to examine both return and volatility spillovers from the USA (developed) and China (Emerging) towards eight emerging … calculate the optimal weights and hedge ratios for the stock portfolios. Our results reveal that both return and volatility … volatility was transmitted from the USA to the majority of the Asian stock markets during the Chinese stock market crash …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388066
This study uses the BEKK-GARCH model to examine the return-and-volatility spillover between the world-leading markets … during the global financial crisis and the crash of the Chinese stock market. Regarding volatility spillover, the results … show the bidirectional volatility transmission between the US and the stock markets of Chile and Mexico during the global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012309325
aggregate U.S. stock market on: 1) the volatility predictions of asymmetric time series models, 2) implied volatility, and 3 …) realized volatility. Both asymmetric time series models and implied volatility predict an increase in volatility following … large negative surprise returns and ex post realized volatility normally rises as predicted. However, while asymmetric time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159746
Density forecasts have become quite important in economics and finance. For example, such forecasts play a central role in modern financial risk management techniques like Value at Risk. This paper suggests a regression based density forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001657476
Density forecasts have become quite important in economics and finance. For example, such forecasts play a central role in modern financial risk management techniques like Value at Risk. This paper suggests a regression based density forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431370
This study examines the spillover and connectedness network among the United States and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)+6 stock market returns during times of uncertainty in the world economy, such as the COVID-19 pandemic and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015071478