Ein Jahr nach der Wahl Donald Trumps zum Präsidenten der Vereinigten Staaten von Amerika wurden in der Quartalsbefragung des ifo World Economic Survey weltweit Wirtschaftsexperten und in gleicher Form in der November-Umfrage des Ökonomenpanels von ifo und FAZ Professoren für...

In der April-Umfrage des ifo World Economic Survey (WES) wurden die Teilnehmer nach ihrer Einschätzung der durch die US-Reformen der Steuer- und Handelspolitik angestoßenen Veränderungen befragt. Eine deutliche Mehrheit der Befragungsteilnehmer geht davon aus, dass die Änderungen der...

In the April edition of ifo‘s World Economic Survey (WES) participants were asked to assess the changes induced by US tax and trade policy reforms. A clear majority of survey participants expect the changes in US trade policy to have a negative impact on their respective countries, as well as...

Can one single political leader influence macroeconomic expectations on a global scale? We design a large-scale survey experiment among influential economic experts working in more than 100 countries and use the 2020 US presidential election as a quasi-natural experiment to identify the effect...

The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act constitutes the largest change to the US tax system since the 1980s and thoroughly alters the way in which multinational companies are taxed. Current assessments on the reform's international impact vary widely. This article sheds light on the tax reform's expected...

We use the US presidential election on 3 November 2020 to examine how the US president influences economic expectations of international experts. We design a large-scale RCT among 843 experts working in 107 countries, asking about their expectations regarding GDP growth, unemployment, inflation,...

We use the US presidential election on 3 November 2020 to examine how the US president influences economic expectations of international experts. We design a large-scale RCT among 843 experts working in 107 countries, asking about their expectations regarding GDP growth, unemployment, inflation,...