Using a very large data set with more than 9,700 stocks listed on NYSE, AMEX and NASDAQ, we analyze overnight price jumps and report short-term investor overreaction to information shocks and document return reversal and predictability up to five days. For negative and positive overnight jumps,...

This paper presents a new test of the present value model of stock price determination, using some of the recent advances in the econometrics of seasonal time series. Unlike earlier studies which generally find stock prices, dividends, and interest rates to be characterized by standard...

Active managers have strong incentives to concurrently realize tax losses and window dress portfolios at the ends of calendar quarters. Consequently, stocks with capital losses experience downward price pressure, and a large share of returns to momentum strategies is earned at these times. This...

The KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) 200 options are one of the most actively traded derivatives in the world. This paper empirically examines (a) the statistical properties of the Korea's representative implied volatility index (VKOSPI) derived from the KOSPI 200 options and (b) the...

In an effort to provide a set of reasonable expectations for stock market performance during 2011, we present results of two simple econometric exercises. Our starting point is the recent trough of economic activity which took place in June of 2009, according to the NBER. This means 2011...

This study explores whether the credit risk anomaly exhibits option-like behavior similar to the momentum anomaly. Employing a market-timing regression model as in Daniel and Moskowitz (2013), it finds that the inverted credit risk spread indeed displays option-like behavior in bear market...

Prior studies find broad-based support for the efficacy of trading strategies based on momentum in stock returns. More recent studies, however, note a declining benefit relative to that identified in seminal studies on momentum. These recent studies, however, primarily examine time periods...

This paper investigates for the first time the effects of oil demand shocks and oil supply shocks on stock order flow imbalances leading to changes in stock returns. Through the estimation of a structural VAR model, positive oil demand shocks are able to explain almost 36% of the observed...

In this article, we document a new stock market anomaly that seems to have escaped the attention of both investment professionals and academics alike. We find that over more than a century, the monthly market return has been predicted by the monthly market return at lag 5. This predictability is...