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We use a new framework to analyze the liquidity trends in the US equity markets, based on the intra-day price trend. The analysis suggests that the proportion of daily price variation explained by jumps (either small or large) is at a historical low. Furthermore while small jumps (which are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231619
particularly interested in volatility modelling and forecasting given their importance for FOREX dealers. Compared with previous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271381
This paper investigates the response of US stock market uncertainty to monetary policy of the Federal Reserve Bank. It can be shown that monetary policy significantly Granger-causes stock market confidence. By using monthly closing prices of the V IX as a stock market uncertainty proxy and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008935254
This paper deals with the economics of Bitcoins in two ways. First, it broadens the discussion on how to capture Bitcoins using economic terms. Center stage in this analysis take the discussion of some unique characteristics of this market as well as the comparison of Bitcoins and gold. Second,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464707
This article questions the empirical usefulness of leverage effects to describe the dynamics of equity returns. Relying on both in and out of sample tests we consistently find a weak contribution of leverage effects over the past 25 years of S&P 500 returns. The skewness in the conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971911
This paper investigates the response of US stock market uncertainty to monetary policy of the Federal Reserve Bank. It can be shown that monetary policy significantly Granger-causes stock market confidence. By using monthly closing prices of the V IX as a stock market uncertainty proxy and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093897
We provide a method for distinguishing long-range dependence from deterministic trends such as structural breaks. The method is based on the comparison of standard log-periodogram regression estimation of the memory parameter with its tapered counterpart. The difference of these estimators...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010306228
We provide a method for distinguishing long-range dependence from deterministic trends such as structural breaks. The method is based on the comparison of standard log-periodogram regression estimation of the memory parameter with its tapered counterpart. The difference of these estimators...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509839
Measuring and modeling financial volatility is the key to derivative pricing, asset allocation and risk management … the daily or lower frequency volatility can be obtained by summing over squared high-frequency returns.In turn, this so …-called realized volatility can be used for more accurate model evaluation and description of the dynamic and distributional structure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003727640
The volatility information content of stock options for individual firms is measured using option prices for 149 U ….S. firms and the S&P 100 index. ARCH and regression models are used to compare volatility forecasts defined by historical stock … returns, at-the-money implied volatilities and model-free volatility expectations for every firm. For one-day-ahead estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010302536